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A position begins with a business and the industry it operates in, and is taken only where the research supports a view the current price does not.

Every position is held to the seven measures the firm is named after.

Company and Industry Research

Work begins with primary documents: filings, financial statements, and what a business reports about its own operations. The industry is read alongside the company, because a business is not held independently of the market it sells into or the capacity being built around it.

Valuation

A view on a business becomes a position only at a price. Valuation establishes what the market currently expects of a company, and the position rests on the distance between that and what the research supports.

Macroeconomic and Market Conditions

Interest rates, inflation, growth, and the conditions of the market a security trades in are assessed for what they do to a thesis. They are read as exposures a position carries, not forecast as events.

Portfolio Construction and Risk

Size follows from the strength of the work and from the exposure already held. Concentration, sector and factor exposure, and the loss tolerance of a position are settled before it is opened rather than after it moves.

Review

A position is reviewed on a schedule rather than when it moves. The question at review is whether the thesis still holds, which is a different question from whether the price has agreed with it yet. A thesis that has been falsified is closed at whatever the price happens to be; a price that has moved against a thesis still standing is not, on its own, a reason to close anything. Keeping the two questions apart is most of the work.

Exclusions

A method is defined as much by what it refuses. None of these is a preference, and none of them moves:

Short-Term Trading
The method does not act on short-term price movement. A position is taken on a thesis with a horizon, or it is not taken.
Unbounded Leverage
Leverage is bounded by a limit set before a position is opened, and is never raised to defend one.
Undefined Risk
No position is entered without a stated loss tolerance, fixed before the position exists.

The Seven Measures

Proprietary Thesis
Positions originate from the firm’s own work rather than from consensus.
Empirical Validation
A view earns capital only after the evidence behind it has been tested.
Deterministic Risk
Every position carries a stated loss tolerance before it is entered.
Repeatable Process
Decisions follow a written process, so outcomes can be attributed and reviewed.
Capital Discipline
Capital is committed in measured increments and reduced when the reasoning weakens.
Continuous Review
Positions are reviewed on a fixed schedule rather than when attention allows.
Long-Term Adaptability
Methods are expected to change, and are built so they can be replaced.